This lecture examines how Sara Duterte’s impeachment trial could reshape the Marcos–Duterte rivalry, Philippine political alliances, and the 2028 presidential election.
The accountability dilemma: Impeachment, polarization, and Philippine democracy
Democracies confront an accountability dilemma when efforts to constrain elected leaders sharpen polarization and undermine institutional legitimacy. Sara Duterte’s impeachment trial will test more than the vice president’s political survival. It could reshape the Marcos–Duterte rivalry, redraw alliances, and transform the race for the presidency in 2028.
This lecture examines how electoral mandates, institutional constraints, and elite strategies interact, drawing comparisons with impeachment experiences in Asia and other young democracies. It then assesses conviction, acquittal, and procedural stalemate as competing political scenarios, considering their consequences for public mobilization, dynastic competition, and the 2028 presidential election. What would make impeachment strengthen democratic accountability rather than merely redistribute power among rival dynastic elites?
Guests are warmly invited to join us for a light reception from 5.30 pm, ahead of the lecture commencing at 6.00 pm.
If you require accessibility accommodations, please contact the event organiser.
Image by Joan Bondoc / https://www.pna.gov.ph/articles/1269423
Event Speakers
Aries A. Arugay
Aries A. Arugay is Professor of Political Science at the University of the Philippines Diliman, Visiting Senior Fellow and Coordinator of the Philippine Studies Programme at ISEAS-Yusof-Ishak Institute, and Editor-in-Chief of Asian Politics & Policy. His research focuses on democratization, contentious politics, civil-military relations, and strategic studies.